OSCAR PREDICTIONS: November 2, 2023
It might seem like March 10, 2024, is very far away but since it’s the date for the annual Academy Awards — those that keep track of nominations it’s really right around the corner.
The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday (March 10) marking the third year the Academy Awards ceremony will be held in March. The Academy set the submission deadline for general categories for the 2024 Oscars for Nov. 18, 2023, with the preliminary voting for the shortlists set to begin on Dec. 18 with the results announced on Dec. 21.
The nominations voting period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominations announcement on Jan. 23. Then there will be a four-week period between nominations and final voting, which begins on Feb. 22. Finally, the show will air live on ABC and in more than 200 territories worldwide from the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood.
It’s always tricky to begin offering professional opinions but here’s where I think the nominations will shake out.
Here are my thoughts by category as of November 2, 2023 and * means to win.
BEST PICTURE
Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) — *
Dan Friedkin, Martin Scorsese, Bradley Thomas, Daniel Lupi
“American Fiction” (MGM)
Cord Jefferson, Jermaine Johnson, Nikos Karamigios, Ben LeClair
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
David Heyman, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley, Robbie Brenner
“Maestro“ (Netflix)
Fred Berner, Bradley Cooper, Amy Durning, Kristie Macosko Krieger, Martin Scorsese, Steven Spielberg
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Emma Thomas, Charles Roven, Christopher Nolan
“Origin” (Neon)
Ava DuVernay, Paul Garnes
DIRECTOR
“Origin” (Neon)
Ava DuVernay
Greta Gerwig
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Cord Jefferson
“American Fiction” (MGM)
Christopher Nolan *
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Martin Scorsese
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper
"Maestro” (Netflix)
Leonardo DiCaprio
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Colman Domingo
“Rustin” (Netflix)
Cillian Murphy
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Jeffrey Wright — *
“American Fiction” (MGM)
Actress in a Leading Role
Lily Gladstone *
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Natalie Portman
“May December” (Netflix)
Margot Robbie
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Emma Stone
“Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
Director
Greta Gerwig
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Jonathan Glazer
“The Zone of Interest” (A24)
Cord Jefferson
“American Fiction” (MGM)
Christopher Nolan
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Martin Scorsese
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper
“Maestro” (Netflix)
Leonardo DiCaprio
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Colman Domingo
“Rustin” (Netflix)
Cillian Murphy
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Jeffrey Wright
“American Fiction” (MGM)
Oscars category page with rankings
Actress in a Leading Role
Lily Gladstone *
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Sandra Hüller
“Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon)
Natalie Portman
“May December” (Netflix)
Margot Robbie
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Emma Stone
“Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
Actor in a Supporting Role
Robert DeNiro
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
Robert Downey Jr.
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Ryan Gosling
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Charles Melton
“May December” (Netflix)
Mark Ruffalo
“Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
Original Screenplay
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Noah Baumbach, Greta Gerwig
“The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
David Hemingson
“May December” (Netflix)
Samy Burch, Alex Mechanik
“Origin” (Neon)*
Ava DuVernay
“Past Lives” (A24)
Celine Song
Best Adapted Screenplay
“All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)
Andrew Haigh (based on the book by Taichi Yamada)
“American Fiction” (MGM)
Cord Jefferson (based on “Erasure” by Percival Everett)
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) — *
Eric Roth, Martin Scorsese (based on the book by David Grann)
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Christopher Nolan (based on “American Prometheus” by Kai Bird, Martin J. Sherwin)
“Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
Tony McNamara (based on the book by Alasdair Gray)
Cinematography
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)*
Rodrigo Prieto
“Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)
Dariusz Wolski
"Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
Hoyte van Hoytema
“Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios)
Linus Sandgren
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