Final Oscar voting enters the home stretch — and “Sinners” is poised to dominate - AmNews Curtain Raiser

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Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Final Oscar voting enters the home stretch — and “Sinners” is poised to dominate

 

The Cast of Sinners: Award Acceptance Speech | 32nd Annual Actor Awards 2026


Final Oscar voting enters the home stretch — and “Sinners” is poised to dominate


Final Oscar voting is in full swing. Ballots opened on February 26 and close on March 5.

The 98th Academy Awards will be held on March 15, airing live on ABC with Conan O’Brien hosting.

We’ll be back covering everything Oscars.

Awards season is never static. Most keen observers weigh in early, then we track nominations, then the guilds, then the televised ceremonies. What appears to be a clear winner at the start of the race often shifts. That volatility is what makes this annual event electric.

This year, insiders believe “Sinners” will take eight Oscars. “Frankenstein” is expected to secure three. “KPop Demon Hunters” and “One Battle After Another” are predicted to win two each, leaving the studio tally projected as Warner Bros. (12), Netflix (7), with Apple Original Films, Neon, and 20th Century Studios picking up one apiece.

I’m going out on a branch.

Best Picture
“Sinners” will win Best Picture.




And it’s beating out serious competition: 

“Bugonia” (Focus Features)
“F1” (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
“Frankenstein” (Netflix)
“Hamnet” (Focus Features)
“Marty Supreme” (A24)
“One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
“The Secret Agent” (Neon)
“Sentimental Value” (Neon)
“Train Dreams” (Netflix)


Director

Ryan Coogler will win Best Director for “Sinners,” beating Paul Thomas Anderson (“One Battle After Another”), Josh Safdie (“Marty Supreme”), Joachim Trier (“Sentimental Value”), and Chloé Zhao (“Hamnet”).


Actor

Michael B. Jordan will win Best Actor for “Sinners,” beating Timothée Chalamet (“Marty Supreme”), Leonardo DiCaprio (“One Battle After Another”), Ethan Hawke (“Blue Moon”), and Wagner Moura (“The Secret Agent”).


Actress

Jessie Buckley will win Best Actress for “Hamnet,” beating Rose Byrne (“If I Had Legs I’d Kick You”), Kate Hudson (“Song Sung Blue”), Renate Reinsve (“Sentimental Value”), and Emma Stone (“Bugonia”).


Supporting Actor

Delroy Lindo will win Supporting Actor for “Sinners,” beating Benicio Del Toro (“One Battle After Another”), Jacob Elordi (“Frankenstein”), Sean Penn (“One Battle After Another”), and Stellan Skarsgård (“Sentimental Value”).


Supporting Actress

Amy Madigan will win Supporting Actress for “Weapons,” beating Elle Fanning and Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (both for “Sentimental Value”), Wunmi Mosaku (“Sinners”), and Teyana Taylor (“One Battle After Another”).


Original Screenplay

“Sinners,” written by Ryan Coogler, will win Original Screenplay, beating “Blue Moon,” “It Was Just an Accident,” “Marty Supreme,” and “Sentimental Value.”


Adapted Screenplay

“One Battle After Another,” written by Paul Thomas Anderson, will win Adapted Screenplay, beating “Bugonia,” “Frankenstein,” “Hamnet,” and “Train Dreams.”


Casting (New Category)

“Sinners” will win Casting for Francine Maisler, beating Nina Gold (“Hamnet”), Jennifer Venditti (“Marty Supreme”), Cassandra Kulukundis (“One Battle After Another”), and Gabriel Domingues (“The Secret Agent”).


Animated Feature

“KPop Demon Hunters” (Netflix) will win Animated Feature, beating “Arco,” “Elio,” “Little Amélie or the Character of Rain,” and “Zootopia 2.”


Production Design

“Frankenstein” will win Production Design, beating “Hamnet,” “Marty Supreme,” “One Battle After Another,” and “Sinners.”


Cinematography

“Sinners” will win Cinematography for Autumn Durald Arkapaw, beating “Frankenstein,” “Marty Supreme,” “One Battle After Another,” and “Train Dreams.”


Costume Design

“Frankenstein” will win Costume Design, beating “Avatar: Fire and Ash,” “Hamnet,” “Marty Supreme,” and “Sinners.”


Film Editing

“One Battle After Another” will win Film Editing, beating “F1,” “Marty Supreme,” “Sentimental Value,” and “Sinners.”


Makeup and Hairstyling

“Frankenstein” will win Makeup and Hairstyling, beating “Kokuho,” “Sinners,” “The Smashing Machine,” and “The Ugly Stepsister.”


Sound

“F1” will win Sound, beating “Frankenstein,” “One Battle After Another,” “Sinners,” and “Sirât.”


Visual Effects

“Avatar: Fire and Ash” will win Visual Effects, beating “F1,” “Jurassic World: Rebirth,” “The Lost Bus,” and “Sinners.”


Original Score

“Sinners,” composed by Ludwig Göransson, will win Original Score, beating “Bugonia,” “Frankenstein,” “Hamnet,” and “One Battle After Another.”





Original Song

“Golden” from “KPop Demon Hunters” will win Original Song, beating “Dear Me,” “I Lied To You” from “Sinners,” “Sweet Dreams of Joy,” and “Train Dreams.”


Documentary Feature

“The Perfect Neighbor” will win Documentary Feature, beating “The Alabama Solution,” “Come See Me in the Good Light,” “Cutting Through Rocks,” and “Mr. Nobody Against Putin.”


International Feature

“The Secret Agent” (Brazil) will win International Feature, beating “It Was Just an Accident” (France), “Sentimental Value” (Norway), “Sirât” (Spain), and “The Voice of Hind Rajab” (Tunisia).


Animated Short

“The Girl Who Cried Pearls” will win Animated Short, beating “Butterfly,” “Forevergreen,” “Retirement Plan,” and “The Three Sisters.”


Documentary Short

“All the Empty Rooms” will win Documentary Short, beating “Armed Only with a Camera,” “Children No More,” “The Devil is Busy,” and “Perfectly a Strangeness.”


Live Action Short

“Two People Exchanging Saliva” will win Live Action Short, beating “Butcher’s Stain,” “A Friend of Dorothy,” “Jane Austen’s Period Drama,” and “The Singers.”


Voting closes March 5.


The envelopes open March 15.


If this slate holds, “Sinners” won’t just win the night.


It will define it.

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